4/11/2025Ā Ā |Ā Ā 2min read

US Inflation Drops Below 3% for First Time in 4 Years

Inflation Dips to 2.4% ā€” Lowest Since 2020

For the first time in four years, U.S. inflation has dipped below 3%, clocking in at 2.4% year-over-year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Thatā€™s thanks to a 0.1% month-over-month decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Marchā€”marking a rare outright drop in headline prices. The news hit just as President Trump preps a new wave of tariffs, potentially reshaping the economic landscape again.

Hereā€™s Whatā€™s Driving the Slowdown

šŸ›¢ļø Gas Prices Tank.

  • Gasoline dropped 6.3% in March.
  • Energy index down 2.4%.

This alone helped pull inflation numbers lower.

šŸ³ Food Prices Up.

  • Overall food: +0.4% MoM.
  • Eggs: +5.9% MoM, +60.4% YoY.

šŸ  Shelter Prices Stabilize.

  • Up just 0.2% in March.
  • Still +4% YoY, but cooling faster than in previous months.

šŸš— Car Prices Flat or Down.

  • Used vehicles: ā€“0.7%.
  • New cars: +0.1%.

Šuto market is calm for nowā€”but Trumpā€™s tariffs may hit it hard next.

Core Inflation Slows Too ā€” Thatā€™s Big

šŸ“‰ Core CPI (excludes food & energy):

  • +0.1% MoM, +2.8% YoY.
  • Thatā€™s the lowest core inflation since March 2021.

This drop in core inflation matters most for the Federal Reserve, as it signals that even ā€œstickyā€ expenses like rent and healthcare arenā€™t rising fast.

ā€œItā€™s a big dealā€”core inflation doesnā€™t fall this easily unless something real is shifting,ā€ analysts noted.

Tariffs Loom as Potential Spoiler

While March brought relief, Trumpā€™s upcoming tariffs could reignite inflation. The auto market, in particular, is vulnerable to sudden cost spikes once import duties hit. Investors are watching closely to see if inflationā€™s downward trend holdsā€”or flips on its head.

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